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Rice Football: Unlocking explosiveness on offense

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Big plays were few and far between for Rice football in 2018, but when the offense was rolling they came frequently enough.

The 2018 Rice football offense wasn’t explosive. The lack of big plays not only put the Owls behind the eight ball on third down, but made scoring opportunities much harder to reach, let alone convert.

Rice had 29 pass plays of 20 yards or more last season, the 11th best in Conference USA. They ranked 13th in pass plays of 40 yards or more (five), ahead of only UTSA who finished dead last in the nation in total offense.

The ground was slightly more favorable. Rice had the seventh most carries of 20 yards or more (15) and the second most carries of 40 yards or more (six). The Owls were one of two CUSA teams with a run of at least 80 yards — courtesy of Juma Otoviano’s breakout performance against Old Dominion.

Altogether Rice finished in the bottom third of the conference in explosive plays. The Owls faired much better (57th in the nation and in the middle of the pack in CUSA) in IsoPPP+, a measure of explosiveness on a per play basis for a given team’s successful plays. In short, when the offense is moving the ball, how good are they at turning successful plays into bigger chunk plays.

Essentially that means that Rice, while not a frequent chain-moving offense, was able to create a decent portion of explosive plays when the plays worked. Blocking, scheme and better athletes with the ball in their hands are all things which should take another step forward for the Owls in 2019. Those numbers seem to point toward both the room for improvement and a foundation able to execute when things break the right way.

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Rice Football: Will the Owls find a bellcow running back in 2019?

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Run-first offenses often trust one primary rusher. That wasn’t quite the case last year, but could Rice football find a bell cow back in 2019?

Dating back to Mike Bloomgren’s days at Stanford, the current Rice head man has tended toward trusting one man to carry the brunt of the load in the backfield. The Owls didn’t have that one guy last year, or at least, they never settled on one back who was healthy enough and consistent enough to take on that role in this offense. Sort of.

Here’s what the distribution of carries looked among the top four Rice rushers in 2018:

By Raw Stats

Player Austin Walter Emmanuel Esukpa Juma Otoviano Aston Walter
Att 133 122 65 64
Yds 564 461 364 254
TD 4 3 3 0

By Percentage

Player Austin Walter Emmanuel Esukpa Juma Otoviano Aston Walter
% Att 27% 25% 13% 13%
% Yds 30% 25% 19% 14%
% TD 27% 20% 20% 0%

The apparent balance wasn’t really the case. One running back registered at least 50 percent of the Owls’ non-quarterback rushes in 10 of 13 games Rice played last year. In six of those games, the lead back was responsible for at least two-thirds of the attempts.

That distribution was largely a function of the roles each of those four backs played as the offense evolved. Emmanuel Esupka was the bruiser north-south runner who started the year as the primary ball carrier before falling out of the rotation with injuries. Splitting time with him initially was Austin Walter, who shifted out to receiver midway through the year.

Stat Pack: Analyzing the Owls against the spread

That left Juma Otoviano and Aston Walter as the remaining options. Otoviano took the lead back duties, increasing his role from the wildcat quarterback earlier in the year. Aston was the glue, filling in whenever the pieces moved around him, registering a career-high 23 carries against LSU.

As the 2019 season looms, Austin and Esukpa are gone. Aston and Otoviano remain with an interesting crop of talent behind them including Harvard transfer Charlie Booker and incoming freshman Jawan King. Will Bloomgren have a lead guy to trust for the duration of the 2019 season? We might just have to wait and see.

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Rice Football: 2020 Offensive lineman Trey Phillippi commits to Owls

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It’s a busy time for the 2020 Rice Football recruiting class, who picked up their third commit of the week with the addition of offensive lineman Trey Phillippi.

Sometimes when you know, you know. That’s the story of Rice football’s latest addition to the 2020 class, Trey Phillippi. Rice hosted a camp over the weekend with several intriguing offensive line prospects. When the staff saw Phillippi work they didn’t waste much time, extending him an offer on Saturday.

Rice was the first school to offer the 6-foot-5, offensive tackle from Montgomery, Tx. The Owls knew what they were looking for and jumped at the opportunity to get Phillippi into the fold, perhaps wrapping up the process even more quickly than they might have originally expected.

Not only was Phillipi blown away by his weekend experience and the prestige of the university, he wasn’t willing to wait more than a week before he made his pledge to the Owls. So less than a week after he received his offer, Phillip committed to Rice.

Phillipi’s decision came less than 24 hours after fellow in-state recruit Devin Gunter committed to the Owls and a few days removed from Brentwood, TN wideout Andrew Mason’s Rice declaration. That’s three coveted additions to the 2020 class in the span of three days.

Phillipi is every bit the road grader his size suggests he ought to be. He’s an enforcer who throws rushers aside with ease and wins his one on one battles at the line of scrimmage. The Owls are always out to find those who fit the Intellectual Brutality culture. Phillipi fits the bill and he’s going to do some damage in the trenches as soon as he gets to South Main.

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Rice Football: 2020 Athlete Devin Gunter commits to Owls

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The 2020 Rice Football recruiting class is picking up steam, grabbing their second commitment of the week from potential two-way standout Devin Gunter.

The Adidas 3 Stripe camp gave Rice football an opportunity to showcase their facilities and their brand with some of the top recruits in college football. That busy day at South Main has already paid dividends. Camp attendee and 2020 athlete Devin Gunter has committed to Rice.

The Missouri City, Tx native had nothing but good things to say following his camp experience. He was impressed with the facilities and enjoyed his time working in person with the Rice coaches. Those relationships have continued to strengthen over the last few weeks.

Gunter has a lot of film at wide receiver, but where he’ll play in college remains up in the air. The tentative plan is to start him off at corner, but his athleticism and raw speed are going to have the offensive coaches chomping at the bit to get him the ball in space and watch him work. Another D’Angelo Ellis situation where he plays two ways could be possible in at least some capacity. He’s that talented.Rice Football, Rice Football Recruiting

Beyond his athleticism, Gunter has legitimate track star speed. He ran a 4.47 at camp and had that time confirmed with a laser timer later this summer. Rice needs speed on the edges and Gunter is undoubtedly one of the fastest guys they’ve landed thus far.

Whether he ends up on offense or defense, Gunter is a big play guy in the making. A 6-foot-1, 180-pound athlete, he has great hands and a knack for attacking the football in the air. He’s only to get better at the next level.

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Rice Football Stat Pack: Analyzing the Owls against the spread

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Rice football was a good bet for part of 2018, but a late-season surge had the Owls outperforming the expectations from those in Vegas.

For gamblers, not all teams are created equal. Last year’s 2018 Rice football squad went 2-11 in the regular season, making a bet against the Owls a lucrative one as the team underwent an extensive rebuild. Still, Rice made the oddsmakers in Vegas work. The Owls were 7-6 against the spread, covering in five of their last six games.

Let’s give Rice a pass through the first half of the season as they worked through a new scheme with new players and new coaches. The second half of the season provides evidence Rice began to outperform expectations of the oddsmakers who, supposedly, know the sport best.

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Rice won their final game of the season against Old Dominion outright, despite being 7.5-point dogs. Other than that, Rice stayed within large margins against FIU, North Texas, Louisiana Tech and LSU — and they did it with a revolving door at the quarterback position as their passers suffered from a myriad of unfortunate injuries.

Over the second half of the season, Rice went 1-5 on the field and 5-1 against the spread. On a high level, that means the Owls consistently beat the oddsmakers’ expectations. As the saying goes, they didn’t build the casinos in the desert by chance.

Vegas has proven to be pretty good at gauging the difference between two teams on any given Saturday. They’re not often wrong and when they are, it usually isn’t by all that much. Here’s how Rice faired down the stretch against the spread.

Date Opponent Spread Result Difference
10/20 Florida Intl 23 Rice -19 4
10/27 North Texas 30 Rice -24 6
11/3 TX El Paso 2 Rice -8 -6
11/10 LA Tech 24 Rice -15 9
11/17 LSU 41.5 Rice -32 9.5
11/24 Old Dominion 7.5 Rice 14 21.5

In 2019 Rice football will work on moving from covering the spread to winning on the field, but these trends should spur some optimism they’re heading in the right direction.

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