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Rice Basketball 2020: Tiebreaker scenarios prior to C-USA pod play

February 11, 2020 By Matthew Bartlett

Rice basketball has their eyes set on a Conference USA Championship Tournament berth. Here’s what it would take to secure a spot.

The Conference USA Basketball Tournament pits the top 12 of 14 conference teams in a four-day event. An automatic berth to the NCAA Tournament is the grand prize. Rice basketball is playing their best down the stretch and hoping for a shot in Frisco. The Owls have to get there first before they can entertain any ideas of cutting down nets.

The easy way

Conference USA introduced the pod system last season in hopes of earning the league an at large bid. That hasn’t materialized yet, but it has added a bit more intrigue to the final month of the season. Teams 1 through 5, 6 through 10 and 11 through 14 face off against each other.

The top two brackets have the distinction of guaranteed spots in the conference tournament. The top two teams of the bottom pod get in whereas the bottom two are the only programs left at home. Here’s a snapshot of the current standings and projected finishes.

Here is a little more detail behind the projections, with the combined KenPom and ESPN BPI probabilities of each team finishing with 0, 1, or 2 wins.

Again, this is just a statistical simulation and not necessarily how we would expect things to play out (we lean towards chaos). pic.twitter.com/E2V8WWQO9O

— LA Tech Sports Central (@latechsportsctl) February 10, 2020

Rice basketball is mathematically alive for the middle pod, but it’s complicated. Any loss would eliminate them from the middle pod and land them in the bottom pod. Here’s the path t0 the middle.

Currently sitting at 4-8 in conference play, Rice would need to win out, beating Old Dominion and Charlotte. That would put their record at 6-8. From there, Rice would need two of the following four things to happen to make the middle pod:

  1. UAB loses at least once (vs MTSU, at MTSU) dropping their record to 6-8 or worse. (Rice has the head to head victory)
  2. UTEP loses at least once (vs Marshall, vs WKU) dropping their record to 5-9 of worse
  3. UTSA loses twice (vs Marshall, vs WKU) dropping their record to 5-9
  4. Old Dominion loses twice (at Rice, at North Texas) dropping their record to 6-8 (Rice would have the head to head victory)

Marshall or FAU finishing 6-8 wouldn’t help Rice. Both programs own head to head wins over the Owls.

The hard way

If Rice is seeded in the bottom pod they’ll have to finish in the top two of that four team grouping. They’ve already beaten Middle Tennessee, so they’d most likely need to conjure a reprisal of that performance and find another win or two along the way. It’s possible but more challenging than an autobid.

Rooting guide

Rice basketball fans need to root for these outcomes, in order of importance by day.

Midweek (Thursday games)

  • Rice beats Old Dominion
  • Middle Tennessee beats UAB (Wednesday)
  • WKU beats UTEP
  • Marshall beats UTSA
  • FAU beats Southern Miss

Saturday games

  • Rice beats Charlotte
  • North Texas beats Old Dominion
  • Middle Tennessee beats UAB
  • Marshall beats UTEP
  • WKU beats UTSA

There are a few more complicated scenarios that could allow Rice to sneak in. We’ll have an update on where things stand entering the weekend. The first step is a win Thursday against Old Dominion. If Rice can’t achieve that, the rest of these combinations are void.

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Filed Under: Featured, Archive, Basketball Tagged With: Rice basketball

Rice Women’s Basketball 2020: Owls dispatch MTSU for 30th straight C-USA win

February 9, 2020 By Matthew Bartlett

In a rematch of last season’s Conference USA Championship Game, Rice women’s basketball beat Middle Tennessee with relative ease.

For the 30th time in as many tries, Rice women’s basketball won a conference game. The Owls’ most recent victory, a 77-60 win over Middle Tennessee at Tudor Fieldhouse on Saturday served as the most recent reminder of this team’s dominance.

Rice had dispatched of every C-USA opponent they’d faced this season, but they had yet to play either Old Dominion or Middle Tennessee, the two programs still in striking distance of the Owls’ in the conference standings. Facing their toughest test of the season, Rice verified their supremacy with their trademark level of suffocating defensive intensity.

Middle Tennessee made two of their first 15 shots and nine of their first 32. The Lady Raiders entered with a 40% shooting percentage on the season. Rice held them to 33.8% shooting while knocking down 47.3% of their own shots.

Winning conference games is hard. Rice women’s basketball has made it seem easy. And beating one of the conference’s better teams by nearly 20 points only underscores the expectations the Owls are putting on themselves. Perfection isn’t the goal — the NCAA Tournament is — but the more Rice wins the closer they get to achieving that greater aspiration.

Final Stats

FINAL BOX | Rice 77, MTSU 60@RiceWBB shines in 30th consecutive C-USA win. #GoOwls pic.twitter.com/jq6Eu4XWuh

— The Roost (@AtTheRoost) February 9, 2020

Player of the Game – Erica Ogwumike

The impressiveness of Rice women’s basketball leading scorer Erica Ogwumike continues to be understated. On Saturday she tallied a double-double at halftime. That would have been her 10th consecutive double-double had she not been subbed out with nine rebounds when Rice had a commanding lead over UAB their last time out.

Ogwumike finished with ## points and ## rebounds. Her presence on the court gives Rice a chance to win every possession, something few teams in college basketball can say of any one individual.

Up Next

Rice women’s basketball will hit the road for their next two contests. On Thursday, Feb. 13 they’ll face Old Dominion in arguably their most important C-USA game of the season to this point. That game is scheduled to tip off at 5:30 p.m. Saturday they’ll head to Charlotte for a 3:00 p.m. game. Both are scheduled to be broadcast on ESPN+.

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Filed Under: Featured, Archive, Basketball, Women's Athletics Tagged With: Erica Ogwumike, game recap, Rice basketball

Rice Football Recruiting: 2020 National Signing Day Recap

February 6, 2020 By Matthew Bartlett

The 2020 Rice Football Recruiting class included two National Signing Day splashes. Here’s where the Owls stand with the class mostly complete.

Rice added four newly committed players on National Signing Day. JUCO linebacker Jaren Banks and Stanford kicker Collin Riccitelli, both of whom committed earlier in the week, made their decisions official as did two newcomers in the secondary.

Early Wednesday morning, Rice signed Gulliver Prep defensive back Gabe Taylor, the highest-rated player in program history. Later in the day, they added corner Lamont Narcisse, another Top 10 player the school has ever signed.

Several walk ons who have yet to be officially announced will be added to the 2020 Rice Football Recruiting class as well. Many won’t be expected to be significant onfield contributors anytime soon, but it’s worth remembering that center Issac Klarkowski and corner Tre’shon Devones each walked on last season and started multiple games for the Owls.

The New Signees

Taylor and Narcisse give Rice a rather impressive haul in the secondary. That pair, along with previously signed Sean Fresch, Jordan Dunbar and Plae Wyatt, should serve as much-needed reinforcements on the back end of the defense.

More: Breaking down the Rice Football recruiting 2020 defensive signees (UPDATED)

The Owls did a much better job of keeping balls in front of them in 2019, but still ranked 13th in C-USA in passing defense, allowing 241.9 yards per game. A sturdy safety corps manned by George Nyakwol, Naeem Smith and Prudy Calderon provides a strong base. Finding corners who can win on their own seems to be the missing ingredient. Hopefully one or both of Taylor and Narcisse can rise to the occasion.

Star-studded

247 Sports is the most unanimously accepted measuring stick among recruiting services. A star rating from their service isn’t infallible, but it’s a great guide on a macro level. By that standard, the 2020 Rice Football recruiting class is the highest-rated in program history. Better still, four of the top 13 commits to ever sign with the program will be on campus this fall.

No. 1. DB Gabe Taylor
No. 6 ATH Jake Bailey
No. 7 CB Lamont Narcisse
No. 12 ATH Sean Fresch

Taylor, Narcisse and Fresch weren’t outliers, rather they were part of a larger group of extremely talented players.

Bloomgren mentioned this being "the highest rated class in Rice history." He's right. Look at the rating of #FlightSchool20 compared over time since they were published in 2003. #GoOwls pic.twitter.com/F5SRnGS58r

— The Roost (@AtTheRoost) February 5, 2020

Room to Improve

The 2020 Rice Football recruiting class is the No. 9 class in Conference USA. That’s a step up from the No. 11 class in 2019 and from No. 12 in 2018, but not the gigantic leap many were expecting. When the Early Signing Period was approaching in December, Rice had a top-two class and we were talking about the makings of what could become the best class in school history.

The decline in rankings is linked more to the number of signees than anything else. The Owls have signed 21 scholarship players so far. On Wednesday, Bloomgren detailed they would not fill the full 25. The recruiting services weight the quality as well as the quantity of players in signing classes.

More: Breaking down the Rice Football recruiting 2020 offense and special teams signees (UPDATED)

Of the C-USA programs with 20 or fewer high school and JUCO signees like Rice, the Owls’ rank third. If Rice were to sign 25 players eligible for the 247 ratings, they would assuredly finish within the Top 5, at worst. But gaming the rankings aren’t of interest to the Rice coaching staff, nor should they be. They have bigger fish to fry.

So what’s next?

What Rice lacks in this class was a singular top-end super-star to put them over the top. It would be nice to see Rice land a Power 5 transfer with top-end talent and a track record of success at the Division 1 level. The Owls are looking at some skill position players on offense right now and are optimistic they’ll be able to sign one before summer workouts get underway. That would put a bow on a great 2020 recruiting cycle.

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Filed Under: Featured, Football, Football Recruiting, Premium Tagged With: Gabe Taylor, Lamont Narcisse, Rice Football, Rice Football recruiting

Rice Football Recruiting: 2020 National Signing Day Live Blog

February 5, 2020 By Matthew Bartlett

The 2020 Rice Football Recruiting class will add to their already impressive class on National Signing Day. Stay here for live updates as they happen.

We’ll have all the latest news and notes from National Signing Day updated throughout the day. The 2020 Rice Football Recruiting class had 17 players signed prior to today and should up that total significantly.

Stay tuned for news on the four commits as well as any potential new additions making announcements on Wednesday. There will be some fireworks you don’t want to miss.

Closing thoughts on the 2020 Rice Football recruiting class

Rice Football Recruiting: 2020 National Signing Day Recap

10:30 p.m.

The class is (mostly) done and I’ve got a lot of notes to work through on the full class. Here’s some quick thoughts from coach Bloomgren.

Mike Bloomgen says he's proud of his staff and the incoming #FlightSchool20 on #NSD20. #GoOwls pic.twitter.com/QPJPag9PT3

— The Roost (@AtTheRoost) February 5, 2020

I’ve also updated the class breakdowns. Read more about the defensive signees here:

Rice Football Recruiting: Breaking down the 2020 signees – Defense

And more on the offensive signees here:

Rice Football Recruiting: Breaking down the 2020 signees – Offense and Special Teams

11:45 a.m.

That’s a wrap… sort of

We got a 𝐬𝐪𝐮𝐚𝐝.#NSD20 x #FlightSchool20 pic.twitter.com/egxNa4O5o8

— Rice Football (@RiceFootball) February 5, 2020

Rice should address the class as a whole later this afternoon. At this point, I don’t have any concerns about any previously announced players getting in. Gotta make the graphic at some point. Overall, this is a very good haul. I’ll have more notes on the class as a whole later on.

10:40 a.m.

Looks like we should update the all-time recruiting ranks. In the past two classes, Bloomgren’s staff has signed four of the top 13 players in program history

  1. DB Gabe Taylor (2020, .8599)
  2. RB Shane Turner (2008, .8590)
  3. CB Jeremy Eddington (2010, .8590)
  4. CB Fred Jackson (2010, .8556)
  5. DT Zach Abercrumbia (2015, .8534)
  6. Saf Gabe Baker (2010, .8528)
  7. ATH Jake Bailey (2019, .8516)
  8. K Chris Boswell (2009, .8510)
  9. CB Lamont Narcisse (2020, .8499)
  10. RB Samuel Stewart (2014, .8484)
  11. Saf Jaylon Finner (2011, .8466)
  12. LB DJ Green (2013, .8459)
  13. CB Sean Fresch (2020, .8449)

10:11 a.m.

The Stanford pipeline continues to flow. Transfer kicker Collin Riccitelli is in.

Rice Football Recruiting: Stanford kicker Collin Riccitelli transfers to Owls

9:20 a.m.

JUCO linebacker Jaren Banks, who committed earlier this week, has turned in his paperwork. He’s officially an Owl.

Rice Football Recruiting 2020: Owls to add JUCO LB Jaren Banks

9:16 a.m.

Had to wait until the West coast woke up for our next wave of signees. The new name here is Calabasas corner Lamont Narcisse. He signs with Rice after a hard fight from Washington State. He is also a Top-10 rated player in the Owls’ 247 Sports history.

Rice Football Recruiting 2020: Corner Lamont Narcisse commits to Owls

6:40 a.m.

While we wait for the next one in, here’s a snapshot of the top commits the Owls have signed with their class and 247 Sports rating. Three of the top 12 will be on campus this upcoming season.

  1. DB Gabe Taylor (2020, .8599)
  2. RB Shane Turner (2008, .8590)
  3. CB Jeremy Eddington (2010, .8590)
  4. CB Fred Jackson (2010, .8556)
  5. DT Zach Abercrumbia (2015, .8534)
  6. Saf Gabe Baker (2010, .8528)
  7. ATH Jake Bailey (2019, .8516)
  8. K Chris Boswell (2009, .8510)
  9. RB Samuel Stewart (2014, .8484)
  10. Saf Jaylon Finner (2011, .8466)
  11. LB DJ Green (2013, .8459)
  12. CB Sean Fresch (2020, .8449)

6:19 a.m.

Rice football just signed the highest-rated player in program history. Welcome aboard Gabe Taylor!

Rice Football Recruiting 2020: DB Gabe Taylor commits to Owls

Wednesday — 5:59 a.m.

Players are allowed to sign at 7:00 a.m. local time, which means the East Coast is up first in just a few minutes. Stay tuned, Rice is going to start out strong.

Tuesday night

Most of the 2020 Rice Football recruiting class has been nailed down prior to the start of the Early Signing Period. The most recent list is available here where you can read profiles on the most notable players. Of those committed players — which range from transfers to walk ons — here’s the list of those who did not sign in December. We’ll be keeping an eye on these names Wednesday morning.

  • LB Andrew Awe – Mansfield, TX
  • LB Jaren Banks – New Mexico Military Institute (JUCO)
  • WR Caleb Chappelle – The Woodlands, TX
  • DB Jonah Doddridge – Southlake, TX
  • LB Terreance Ellis – Pearland, TX
  • WR Michael Haack – El Paso, TX
  • FB Brian Hibbard – Baton Rouge, LA
  • OL Payton Lovell – Trophy Club, TX
  • K Collin Riccitelli – Stanford
  • OL Charlie Stone – Austin, TX
  • WR Casey Tawa – West Linn, OR

Make sure to stay tuned on Twitter and follow our live blog here during the day for updates. Get the latest list of the 2020 Rice Football Recruiting commits by clicking the tracker below.

Rice Football, Rice Football Recruiting

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Filed Under: Featured, Football, Football Recruiting Tagged With: Andrew Awe, Brian Hibbard, Caleb Chappelle, Casey Tawa, Charlie Stone, Collin Riccitelli, Gabe Taylor, Jaren Banks, Jonah Doddridge, Michael Haack, Payton Lovell, Rice Football, Rice Football recruiting, Terreance Ellis

Rice Football Recruiting: What to expect from National Signing Day 2020

February 4, 2020 By Matthew Bartlett

Here’s where the 2020 Rice Football recruiting class stands on the eve of National Signing Day and some notes on what to expect down the stretch.

The 2020 Rice Football recruiting class signed 17 members during the Early Signing Period in December. That left the Owls with plenty of room to bolster their class over the last several weeks. The Owls did that on multiple fronts, including bringing in two buses full of players over the final official visit weekend of this recruiting cycle.

More: Rice football 2020 recruiting class commitment list

When the dust settled, Rice added several more players to their 2020 class. Announcements began to trickle out in the hours after the visits came to a close. Rice also added two transfers. Former Stanford kicker Collin Riccitelli will play his final season at South Main. JUCO linebacker Jaren Banks also made his pledge to play for the Owls.

That was a good start, but the 2020 Rice football recruiting class is far from done. Here’s what to expect on National Signing Day and weeks to come.

1. More commitments

With the final visit and National Signing Day falling so close together, expect to see additional announcements on Wednesday. Rice will close strong, following a pattern of impactful finishes the program has strung together of late. Rice announced and signed their highest-rated recruit of the 2019 class (wide receiver Jake Bailey) on National Signing Day, beating out Power 5 schools in the process. That could happen again this year.

2. A complete class…

Rice had already addressed most of the notable gaps during the early signing period. They found lineman in droves, plenty of speed on both sides of the ball and a pair of quarterbacks to solidify depth at that position. On Wednesday, there shouldn’t be any singular position that feels neglected compared to the roster construction or expectations.

3. … With room to spare

But — and it could be a big but — Rice won’t be done. Like they did last year, the Owls will continue to add to their 2020 class until the very last moment. Rice brought in players as late as early Summer in 2019 and they’ll most likely do it again this year. The Owls are scouring the Transfer Portal and keeping in close contact with players who, for one reason or another, might not be ready to make any formal announcements in February.

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Filed Under: Featured, Football, Football Recruiting, Premium Tagged With: National Signing Day, Rice Football, Rice Football recruiting

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