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38 Days: Offensive help for the Owls is on the way

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Rice football needs a jolt on offense in 2018. Head coach Mike Bloomgren has the experience and the know-how to make that happen.

There weren’t many teams worse on the offensive side of the ball than Rice in 2017. The Owls finished six spots above the worse scoring offense in the FBS, UTEP. Coincidentally, the Miners were the only team the Owls were able to beat last year. If Rice has their eyes on making strides in the win column they’ll need the offense to improve drastically.

Mike Bloomgren is the man for the job.

Bloomgren joins the Owls after five years as the offensive coordinator at Stanford. The difference between the Rice offense and the Stanford offense over that time was seismic. Beyond the obvious talent gap, the Cardinal frequently ran the ball effectively and put up points. They weren’t perfect, but they finished inside the top 50 in the nation three times in Bloomgren’s five years calling the shots. Rice, although they did boast a stronger offense in 2014, consistently lagged behind.

Team/Yr   Rice   Stanford
2013 62 45
2014 66 79
2015 87 18
2016 93 82
2017 125 38
Average 86.6 52.4

The low points for Stanford are noteworthy; even Bloomgren’s squads weren’t perfect. However, the upside should give fans hope. Stanford has the No. 38 offense in the nation last season. Rice hasn’t finished that high in the offensive rankings since Chase Clement took Conference USA by storm in 2008. Clement is walking through the door any time soon.

What Bloomgren did at Stanford can be replicated. He built around a strong running game with a quarterback that was able to methodically move the ball down the field. When quarterback K.J. Costello took over from Keller Chryst midway through the season the offense got even better. A little bit of mobility combined with top-level football IQ is all Bloomgren needs to build upon. Whichever quarterback he chooses, the Rice offense is in good hands.

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39 Days: Sustaining drives a key to finding offensive success

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Rice football has a decent amount of success on third down last season, but a tick up in those situations needs to be a focal point entering 2018.

Unless your offense consistently finds a way to take the top of the defense, converting on third down is a key piece of any offensive gameplan. Every coach will have a variety of plays and formations at his disposal for the sole purpose of gaining those three, seven or even 15 necessary yards and moving the chains. Offenses that can’t consistently convert on third down have to rely on chunk plays to avoid the down entirely.

Rice converted on 39 percent of their third down conversions last season. The Owls were just behind the national average of 40 percent conversions. While that’s a step up from their defensive stop rate on third down it still leaves room for improvement.

The teams that consistently turned third downs into first down predominantly were successful running the football, and not just when they had to. 10 of the top 16 third down offenses ranked inside the top 25 in rushing. Teams that run the ball frequently and with success often put themselves into a manageable down and distance. They also have the practice and the poise to get the two yards they need by handing the ball off to a trustworthy running back and letting him lower his shoulder and plow through the line.

Building up the offensive line has already been one of head coach Mike Bloomgren’s focal points. He signed four offensive lineman in the 2018 class. He’s already begun building his 2019 class around guard Regan Riddle and tight end Jack Bradley.

The ability to get the tough yards will define success. It will make the arrival of the physical brutality meant to coincide with newfound culture of the intellectual brutality which is already beginning to bleed into this program’s DNA. Whether it’s on the ground behind the revamped offensive line or through the air, converting on third down is a must.

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40 Days: Owls must find ways to get stops and force punts

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Rice football fielded few punts last season, partly because of their inability to hold on third down. Will that change in 2018?

The Owls forced a grand total of 40 punts in 2017. If that number seems a bit low, it is. There was only one FBS team that forced fewer punts than Rice last season, Oregon State, who not-so-coincidentally also went 1-11.

This goes all the way back to the basic fundamentals of football. Run the ball and play defense. Last season Rice wasn’t fundamentally sound, and it showed. The Owls finished 90th in the nation in total defense and a miserable 125th in third-down defense. Opponents converted a staggering 48.6 percent of their attempts. The national average on third down was 38.6 percent, putting the Owls in the red by a sizable margin.

If you can’t get off the field, you can’t get your offense onto it. The defensive woes bled through to an offense that ranked 125th in the nation in scoring. And the problem compounded on itself. It’s a vicious cycle. The only way to fix it? Find a way to get stops on defense.

The best teams in the nation, as far as forcing punts go, average just north of seven punt attempts against per game. Combine that with a couple of turnovers, maybe the end of a half and you’re approaching 10 possession in which your opponent doesn’t score and you get the ball. The math adds up rather quickly, and sooner or later those numbers translate into wins.

Rice football has a laundry list of items that need to be changed as the program continues to progress under head coach Mike Bloomgren. A switch isn’t going to flip overnight; it’s going to be a process. One of those stepping stones, which could make a huge difference for the psyche of this team early on, is getting off the field on third down.

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Nahshon Ellerbe primed for increased workload in 2018

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The Rice football offense is going to look a bit different under Mike Bloomgren in 2018, starting with the emergence of one lead back. Could that be Nashon Ellerbe?

Mike Bloomgren is no stranger to the workhorse running back. During his time with Stanford he coached both Christian McCaffrey and Bryce Love. Those are two generational backs, but his trend of relying on one man in the backfield started before even those two superstars. Remound Wright carried the load prior to McCaffrey, who eventually gave way to Love.

Here’s how Bloomgren’s No. 1 tailback fared during his four years as the offensive coordinator at Stanford:

Year Lead Back LB Carries LB Rushing TD % Total Carries % Total Rushing TD
2014 Remound Wright 135 11 29.2% 50.0%
2015 Christian McCaffrey 337 8 56.3% 24.2%
2016 Christian McCaffrey 253 13 49.3% 65.0%
2017 Bryce Love 263 19 57.0% 61.3%

Just once did Bloomgren’s lead back account for fewer than 40 percent of the total carries. The same was true when it came to touchdowns, which makes sense — more touches lead to more scoring opportunities. Last year’s No. 2 back, Cameron Scarlet, tallied 389 yards. No. 3? 142. In comparison, Rice’s third-best leading rusher ran for 308 yards, just a touch below Ellerbe’s 429.

Beyond putting his trust in one workhorse back, Bloomgren predominately employs a run-first offense. The Cardinal ran 60.4 percent of the time under his four years as the OC.

All of those pieces put together suggest Bloomgren will have to find someone on the current roster to take charge of the offense at Rice in 2018. Whereas there are a host of options at quarterback, the running back position should already have a clear-cut leader: Nahshon Ellerbe.

A redshirt junior, Ellerbe led the team in carries, rushing yards and rushing touchdowns last season. His 85 carries represented a mere 17.7 percent of the team total, putting him in line for a massive uptick in work under Bloomgren in 2018. A workload closer to 180 carries would put him on track to reach the 1,000-yard mark, something that hasn’t happened at Rice since Charles Ross reached 1,280 yards in 2013.

Ellerbe is going to get the first shot at earning the workhorse role. If he’s slow out of the gate, players like Aston Walter, Collin Whitaker and Emmanuel Esukpa will all have a chance to throw their hat into the proverbial ring. However, by the time the Owls return home in October they should have one man poised to carry them the rest of the way.

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44 Days: Chase Clement owns school-record 44 passing touchdown season

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Chase Clement owns the entirety of the Rice football passing record books including throwing a school-best 44 touchdown passes as a senior in 2008.

The Rice football passing record books are dominated by one name: Chase Clement. In a four year career spanning 2005 to 2008 he accomplished things at South Main that no soul has come anywhere close to equaling. His 44 touchdown passes in 2008 broke his own record of 29 touchdown passes in 2007. Driphus Jackson, sitting at third all-time, threw for 24 touchdowns in 2014.

It wasn’t just one or two productive seasons for Clement at Rice. He remains the only player in Owls history to top 6,200 passing yards. Clement threw for 9,785 yards in his career. He holds the school records for total touchdown passes (99), quarterback rushing touchdowns (25) and is third all-time with a 60.0 percent completion percentage (minimum 300 passes).

The numbers were impressive by themselves, but the awe is amplified when one considers the situation around him. As a freshman in 2005, he was a part of Ken Hatfield‘s last season at Rice, a 1-10 season. Hatfield gave way to Todd Graham who left Rice after one season for Tulsa. Clement was on his third coach in three years when David Bailiff took control of the program in 2007.

As the change intensified Clement got better and better. He improved in every significant passing metric every season of his collegiate career. As a freshman, he completed 42.7 percent of his passes for 582 yards, 4.7 yards per attempt and five touchdown passes. Three years late he completed 66.5 percent of his passes for 4,119 yards, 8.4 yards per attempt and the aforementioned 44 touchdown passes.

Mike Bloomgren’s offense doesn’t figure to be pass happy, but it’s worth noting his experience on staff at Stanford with Andrew Luck. He’s an offensive guy and has worked with one of the best college quarterbacks ever to play the game. That can only be a good thing for the Owls moving forward.

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