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29 Days: Owls must win time of possession battle in 2018

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Time of possession doesn’t mean much to the vast majority of collegiate teams, but for Rice Football controlling the clock is the gateway to offensive success.

The Owls’ new-look offense is predicated on winning in the trenches. As coach Mike Bloomgren says, the new Rice will impose their will on their opponent. That tenacity will be enforced by dominating in one somewhat inconspicuous statistic: time of possession.

The Owls averaged 29:37 in time of possession last season, the seventh-best mark in Conference USA and the 73rd best average in the nation. They were essentially right at the median. That portion of the range doesn’t tell much because the vast majority of teams tend to concentrate near the 30:00 possession mark. In fact, 68 percent of  D1 teams fell within plus or minus two minutes of 30:00. That hammers home a somewhat intuitive truth — for most teams, time of possession doesn’t really matter.

Rice won’t be one of those teams because Stanford wasn’t one of those teams. Bloomgren’s five years as the offensive coordinator at Stanford paint a blueprint for what is in store for Rice football. From 2012 to 2016 Stanford ranked inside the top 30 in the nation in winning the battle with the clock. The Cardinal fell off a bit to 62nd in 2017, but still had the ball more often than they didn’t, averaging 30:16 in time of possession.

Each season the high end of the range includes power running teams like Navy, Army, Air Force and Georgia Tech. The next tier is where the Owls are aiming to reach. Wisconsin, LSU, Georgia and Michigan all operate an offense that is dependent of controlling the clock. When things are working well, that control of the clock translates into control of the game.

In this respect, the Owls will dare to be different. They’ll be one of a handful of teams that intentionally focus on winning the time of possession battle and the results could be tremendous.

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2019 WR Zane Knipe commits to Owls

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Houston, speed is not a problem. Rice football has secured the commitment of blazing-fast wideout Zane Knipe from Lamar High School.

More: Complete list of 2019 Rice football commits after the early signing period

Houston speedster Zane Knipe is staying home. After bringing in several out-of-state prospects early on this summer the Owls returned to their own stomping grounds to reel in another big-time commitment. The 3-star wide receiver out of Lamar High School in Houston announced his commitment to the Owls on Twitter :

https://twitter.com/k_zane28/status/1022298969425231873

This one was a big one for the Owls. Knipe put himself into the spotlight with a strong showing at The Opening – Houston. He’s got great finesse and moves well on the field, but his speed is what could make him a gamebreaker on the next level. A 4×100 relay runner, Knipe has the ability to turn on the jets and go.

Knipe’s recruitment has been relatively quiet up to this point. When he decided the time was right to commit to Rice he’d only reportedly received one other D1 scholarship offer from Illinois. Regardless of whether it was the allure of the Owls or his happiness with home cooking, Knipe’s commitment is one more brick in a message that coach Mike Bloomgren has been building for some time. Rice is good enough on every front for kids to stay in town rather than go out of state. Knipe obviously believes it, and more could follow.

The commitment from Knipe will bump the Owls back up to No. 6 in Conference USA, sliding in one spot in front of the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. That’s a good start for mid-summer, especially considering where the Owls have been in the ranks at this point in prior years (hint: think bottom).

Bloomgren’s first full recruiting class continues to move along. Whether it’s the dead period, the quiet period or the normal course of the season, he’s working. His efforts to get Knipe into the fold have paid off. Who’s next?

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31 Days: It’s time for Owls to start picking off some passes

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Rice football tallied six takeaways over 12 games in 2017 which contributed to one of the worst turnover margins in school history.

The turnover battle was not kind to the Owls in 2017. In truth, it hasn’t been favorable for some time. Since winning the conference title in 2013 the Owls have regressed significantly in turnover margin. Last season the Owls hit rock bottom. Their six total turnovers forced were not only the worst mark in Conference USA, it was the fewest turnovers forced in Division I football.

Rice was one of only four programs last season that forced fewer than 10 takeaways. They finished tied for fourth-worst in giveaways with 29. All told Rice finished with a dismal turnover margin of -23. Including the Owls’ 2017 season, there have been only six instances in which a team finished with a turnover margin -20 or worse since 2000.

In 1977 Rice registered an outstanding 51 takeaways, including 31 interceptions. Spread across 11 contests, the Owls averaged 2.8 interceptions per game. That’s a world of difference when juxtaposed with the three interceptions the 2017 squad accumulated in 12 games. Here’s how the record-setting 1977 season compared to the five most recent seasons:

Season INT Gain Fumbles Gain Total Takeaways INT Lost Fumbles Lost Total Turnovers Turnover Margin
2017 3 3 6 16 13 29 -23
2016 5 6 11 10 8 18 -7
2015 2 8 10 9 13 22 -12
2014 9 11 20 8 4 12 8
2013 14 12 26 9 10 19 7
1977 31 20 51 10 10 20 31

The numbers are pretty jarring and they speak to why Mike Bloomgren was brought in as the new head coach. Although he’s cut his teeth on the offensive side of the ball he still plans to bring the Stanford brand of football, centered on power running and physical defense, to South Main. It won’t be hard to improve on last season’s results, but it’s safe to say the tip drill will be incorporated into practices more frequently moving forward.

Rice doesn’t need to climb all the way up to +31, but getting out of the negatives would go a long way toward making the Owls competitive on a weekly basis in 2018.

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2018 Prairie View A&M Panthers Season Preview

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Rice football kicks off the 2018 season with a home game against the Prairie View A&M Panthers. Can the Panthers challenge the Owls on their home turf?

Since moving on from the Southwestern Conference in 1996 Rice football has gone through some difficult stretches. Some years were tough, but none were as draining as the 80-game losing streak the Prairie View A&M Panthers accrued from 1991 to 1998. PVAMU has come a long way since then, showing enough improvement to warrant the construction of a new stadium, completed in 2016.

Head coach Willie Simmons shockingly resigned following the 2017 season to take over at his Alma Mater, Florida A&M. In his place, Prairie View A&M hired former Grambling State offensive coordinator Eric Dooley as the school’s 33rd head coach. He inherits a program that finished 6-5 last year, their third consecutive winning season.

The 2018 game between PVAMU and Rice marks the second meeting in the series. Rice won the first contest in 2016 by the final score of 65-44.

Offense

Any missteps the Panthers have suffered over the last several years have not fallen upon the offense. PVAMU has been a consistent offensive power in the SWAC for several years, most recently on the arm and legs of quarterback Neiko Hollins. Following a marvelous freshman season, Hollins was set to lead the Panthers in 2018 before announcing his decision to transfer late this summer.

Hollins earned the starting job midway through last season. Even with the late start he finished second in the conference in passing touchdowns and third in passing touchdowns. PVAMU, which had begun the season 2-3, finished 4-2 under his leadership. He’ll be a tough man to replace.

In his place, PVAMU will turn to redshirt junior Jalen Morton. Morton appeared in six games last season, completing 8-of-17 passes for 107 yards and a touchdown. He’ll be asked to spread the ball around to playmakers on the outside and could surpass those season-long statistics early on against Rice.

Joining Morton on offense will be junior running back Dawonya Tucker who rushed for 531 yards and five touchdowns as a complimentary piece to All-SWAC running back Sta’Fon McCray. McCray has since moved on leaving Tucker and Kansas State transfer Bernard Goodwater as the primary ballcarriers moving forward.

There will be plenty of new faces in the receiving corps too. Markus Hardy, the Panthers’ leading returning receiver, registered 14 catches, 280 yards and three touchdowns in 2017. The focus should shift to Trinity Valley College transfer Tristen Wallace, a former four-star recruit who was dismissed from Oregon before making his way through the JUCO ranks to PVAMU.

Defense

At a bare minimum, the Prairie View A&M defense will need to hold the line in 2018. The Panthers were hot and cold on defense last season before ending the year on a bit of a hot streak. They held three of their last five opponents to 17 points or fewer.

Defensive coordinator Henry Miller is the new man in charge and he inherits a cupboard, that while not overflowing with riches, has some key pieces that could be difference makers for the Panthers next season. Junior defensive back Ju’Anthony Parker picked off four passes in 2017, two of which he returned for touchdowns. Joining him in the defensive backfield is junior Reggie Stubblefield who tallied eight pass breakups a year ago.

In the front seven, linebacker Anthony Stubbs is the name to know. He picked up 69 tackles (eight for a loss) in 2017 and promises to have an equally productive 2018 season.

Schedule

Date Opponent
8/25/2018 Rice
9/2/2018 North Carolina Central
9/8/2018 Sam Houston
9/15/2018 UNLV
9/22/2018 Arkansas – Pine Bluff
9/29/2018 Grambling State
10/13/2018 Southern
10/27/2018 Alcorn State
11/3/2018 Jackson State
11/17/2018 Alabama State
11/24/2018 Texas Southern
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2018 Wake Forest Demon Deacons Season Preview

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Rice football will venture outside the confines of Conference USA for a road test against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in 2018.

For the third time in school history, Rice football will square off with Wake Forest. The Owls beat the Demon Deacons in their last meeting on the gridiron, 33-17 in September of 1990. The two school’s only other meeting came the year prior to that, a 17-17 tie.

Wake Forest finished 8-5 last season, capping off their 2018 campaign with a shootout victory over Texas A&M in the Belk Bowl. Head coach Dave Clawson has consistently produced competitive football teams in a division which has produced a College Football Playoff team every year since the playoff was established in 201. They’ll get the Owls on the end of a four-game homestand whereas Rice will be playing their third straight road game.

After allowing 34 points against the Demon Deacons in series history the Owls will look to keep their undefeated streak alive in 2018. To do that they’ll have to limit one of the ACC’s surprisingly potent offenses.

Offense

Replacing quarterback John Wolford is the biggest challenge for the Demon Deacons in 2018. The four-year starter finished third in school history in career passing yards, throwing for 8,794 yards from 2014 to 2017. Kendall Hinton will be asked to lead the offense in his stead. Hinton started two games in 2015 and one in 2016. Although he hasn’t had much meaningful game action he’ll have the benefit of one of the most experienced offensive lines in the ACC to protect him.

Wake Forest didn’t have a single offensive lineman named to any of the All-ACC teams from 2012-2016. Last season they had three – center Ryan Anderson, left guard Phil Haynes and left tackle Justin Herron. The Deacs will add a trio of experienced running backs behind them, led by Matt Colburn who came 61 yards shy of a 1,000-yard season in 2017.

As for pass catchers, limiting the amount of damage caused by Greg Dortch will be a priority. As a redshirt freshman last fall, Dortch became the first player in school history with four receiving touchdowns in a single game. He’s joined by a host of other options in an offense that generally likes to spread the ball out. Seven different players had 10+ receptions last season.

Defense

The loss of defensive coordinator Mike Elko to Notre Dame following the 2016 season saw the Deacs take a step backward in defensive effectiveness. They slipped from 22.2 points per game in 2016 to 28.3 points per game in 2017. They return six starters this season – the front seven was hit noticeably hard.

Wake Forest will have to replace defensive ends Duke Ejiofor and Wendell Dunn as well as their backups. Incoming freshman end Mike Allen has shown promise in spring action, but he has big shoes to fill including 6.5 sacks combined between Ejiofor and Dunn. He’ll join the only returning starting linebacker, Demetrius Kemp, the last remaining piece from a linebacker unit that included two of the team’s three leading tacklers in 2017.

Where the Deacs will be most dangerous is the secondary. Even with the loss of Jessie Bates to the NFL, Wake Forest will have plenty of speed on the back end in 2018. Corner Essang Bassey led the ACC in pass breakups a year ago. Cameron Glenn led the team in tackles. Both are back and should be fixtures of the Deacs’ defense this year.

Schedule

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