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2023 Midseason AAC Football Power Rankings

October 13, 2023 By Matthew Bartlett

Half of the 2023 season is in the books and hierarchies are starting to form in the AAC Football standings. Which teams have separated themselves from the rest so far?

At the risk of stirring the pot, I’m releasing my weekly AAC Football power rankings at roughly the midseason mark, complete with some comments explaining my rationale. The top three spots feel pretty chalky, as do the bottom two. Ranks four through 12, on the other hand, were a mess to sort through. It’s one big middle class as we reach the midway point of the season.

1. Tulane

No Michael Pratt? No problem. The defending AAC champs held serve without their star quarterback on the field, potentially missing out on an upset against Ole Miss, but keeping their conference aspirations intact. They’re the frontrunner until someone can knock them off their perch.

2. Memphis

The only blemish on an otherwise sterling resume for the Tigers was a road loss against a very good Missouri team that entered the weekend 5-0. The Tigers look like a complete team and rank in the top three in the conference in scoring offense and scoring defense.

3. SMU

The Mustangs have more or less held serve through their first five games with their only losses coming against Power 5 opponents, Oklahoma and TCU. They might not be tested for a while longer, but they’ve looked the part thus far, even if its come against the likes of ECU.

4. UTSA

UTSA jumped up in these rankings this week by earning their first AAC win. With a healthy Frank Harris at quarterback, they’ll be able to trade touchdowns with anyone. It’s the defense that has question marks. The Roadrunners don’t look to be the same team they’ve been in years past, but they’re 1-0 in league play.

5. USF

There’s no doubt USF was playing ahead of schedule through their first five games. The Bulls hung with Alabama and won their first conference games of the year shortly after, but a blowout loss to UAB proves they have work to do. That said, the upside is evident.

6. Rice

The only AAC team with a Power 5 win, Rice checks in at six because the Owls’ lows have been as bad as their highs have been good. A loss to a previously winless UConn team at home as a double-digit favorite doesn’t erase the upset win over Houston, but it does lead to some questions regarding which version of this team will show up each week.

7. FAU

FAU kept their season alive with a win over Tulsa this weekend, but an injury to quarterback Casey Thompson earlier in the year keeps realistic expectations in check. They’ve got talent, but it’s going to be an uphill climb with a backup quarterback.

8. Navy

The Midshipmen notched their first AAC win under new head coach Brian Newberry, beating North Texas, but they also looked feisty against USF and Memphis. The defense is a liability at the moment, but the triple option is humming and should help them rack up at least a few more wins.

9. Tulsa

Tulsa is .500, which isn’t all that bad for their first year under head coach Kevin Wilson, but they don’t have any quality wins so far, posting victories over Arkansas Pine-Bluff, Northern Illinois and Temple. A win over Rice in their next game would be their best of the year, but its not as if the Owls have separated themselves too much from the pack.

10. UAB

Beating USF, one of the conference’s more impressive teams thus far, earned UAB some kudos this week, but it isn’t enough to erase a season that has been largely underwhelming. The Blazers have received more attention for the sideline antics of head coach Trent Dilfer than their wins, something that has to change for them to climb this list.

11. Temple

The offense is exciting. The defense is not. All that separates Temple from the team directly behind them in this rankings is more productive quarterback play. The Owls’ EJ Warner is third in the conference with 1,741 passing yards and second with 12 touchdown passes. Unfortunately, it hasn’t been enough to lead to wins.

12. North Texas

Just like Temple, North Texas is a team with a fun offense and not much to speak of on the other side of the ball. The Mean Green are allowing 39.8 points per game on defense, the worst mark in the AAC. It’s going to be hard for quarterback Chandler Morris to overcome that, even though he’s generally played well.

13. ECU

The departure of star quarterback Holton Ehlers has sent shockwaves through the ECU offense which remains dysfunctional through the first half of the season. Winners of eight games a year ago, the Pirates will be lucky to reach bowl eligibility at all after a terrible 1-5 start.

14. Charlotte

Charlotte head coach Biff Poggi was irate at AAC Media Days and scolded the assembled media for picking the 49ers to finish last in the league. Here we are halfway through the season and Poggi has already had at least one explosive postgame presser while his team ranks… last in the conference.

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Filed Under: AAC, Football Tagged With: AAC

AAC Football 2023: Week 6 Roundup

October 7, 2023 By Matthew Bartlett

AAC Football was back in action this weekend. Here’s the latest from the teams on the gridiron in Week 6.

Team Record  This Week Result Up Next
Charlotte 1-4 (o-1)  —  — vs Navy
ECU 1-4 (0-1)  —  — vs SMU
FAU 2-3 (1-0) vs Tulsa W, 20-17 vs USF
Memphis 4-1 (1-0)  —  — vs Tulane
Navy 2-3 (1-2) vs North Texas W, 27-24 at Charlotte
North Texas 2-3 (0-1) at Navy L, 27-24 vs Temple
Rice 3-3 (1-1) vs UConn L, 38-31  —
SMU 3-2 (1-0)  —  — at ECU
Temple 2-4 (0-2) vs UTSA L, 49-34 at North Texas
Tulane 4-1 (1-0)  —  — at Memphis
Tulsa 3-3 (1-1) at FAU L, 20-17  —
UAB 2-4 (1-1) vs USF W, 56-35 at UTSA
USF 3-3 (2-1) at UAB L, 56-35 at FAU
UTSA 2-3 (1-0) at Temple W, 49-34 vs UAB

Notable Results (Standings)

This conference is a mess

Through five weeks, the ACC has two four-win teams, two one-win teams and 10 teams logjammed with a game of .500. If it feels hard to figure out who is actually good this season, the current standings reflect that. Rice and Tulsa both had the chance to break into the four-win club, but couldn’t find a way to get it done and fell back to the rest of the pack.

UTSA bounces back

UTSA, one of those middle-of-the-standings programs, notched a much-needed win to opener their AAC slate, outlasting Temple in a high-scoring affair on the road. The Roadrunners were picked to contend in this conference and despite a shaky start to the season, they’re still in position to do that, especially with quarterback Frank Harris leading the offense.

USF comes back to earth

South Florida screamed out to a 2-0 start to conference play before running into a Dragon-sized wall in their third conference game. The Blazers had just one win when the Bulls came to town, serving a slice of humble pie to their upstart visitors. USF might have been ahead of schedule in Alex Golesh’s first season, but still have to feel pretty good about things entering an all-Florida showdown against FAU in Week 6.

Looking ahead – Key storylines

Tipping point

Rice and Tulsa are both 3-3, each dropping what felt like a winnable game before a bye week and a matchup in Tulsa in Week 7. This game isn’t being played for another week and a half, but both programs will face some pressure to get things patched up and ready to go before they play a midweek, prime-time game with the loser falling below .500 in league play.

Danger zone

Charlotte and ECU already trail the rest of the pack entering Week 6 with more conference matchups looming. If it’s not “save-your-season” territory yet, it’s getting pretty close. Neither program can afford to add a fifth loss so early in the year. It’s a little early to start talking about must-win games, but that’s exactly where things stand for these programs.

Who’s No. 1?

Tulane and Memphis each had the week off before a potential conference-deciding matchup between the current frontrunners in Week 6. The Mean Green and Tigers are a combined 8-0 against non-Power 5 opponents and each school came close to pulling off a Power 5 upset already this season. This has the makings of what could be the biggest conference game of the year and it’s still October.

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Filed Under: AAC, Archive, Football Tagged With: AAC

AAC Football 2023: Week 5 Roundup

September 30, 2023 By Matthew Bartlett

AAC Football was back in action this weekend. Here’s the latest from the teams on the gridiron in Week 5.

Team Record  This Week Result Up Next
Charlotte 1-4 at SMU L, 34-16  —
ECU 1-4 at Rice L, 24-17  —
FAU 1-3  —  — vs Tulsa
Memphis 4-1 vs Boise St W, 35-32  —
Navy 1-3 vs USF L, 44-30 vs North Texas
North Texas 2-2 vs ACU W, 45-31 at Navy
Rice 3-2 vs ECU W, 24-17 vs UConn
SMU 3-2 vs Charlotte W, 34-16  —
Temple 2-3 at Tulsa L, 48-26 vs UTSA
Tulane 4-1 vs UAB W, 35-23  —
Tulsa 3-2 vs Temple W, 48-26 at FAU
UAB 1-4 at Tulane L, 35-23 vs USF
USF 3-2 at Navy W, 44-30 at UAB
UTSA 1-3 —  — at Temple

Notable Results (Standings)

Memphis delivers a message

Picked to finish fourth in conference in the preseason media poll, Memphis notched one of the most notable non-conference wins of any AAC school so far this season. The Tigers knocked off Boise State, staying perfect at home and putting themselves near the forefront of the conference race. They’re currently tied with Tulane as the only four-win teams in the league through five weeks.

Trouble in Greenville

UAB, Charlotte and FAU are all breaking in new head coaches. UTSA has dealt with some tough injury luck and a rigorous non-conference slate. ECU, on the other hand, has been relatively healthy but has no FBS wins to show for it. The Pirates fell on the road to Rice over the weekend, unable to overcome a hobbled JT Daniels or a Rice defense that had four fourth down stops in the second half.

Antennas raised

Neither South Florida and Tulsa had much in the form of expectations entering the 2023 seasons. With new coaches at the helm and plenty of question marks on the roster, a slow start would have been forgiven, if not expected. Instead, both programs are 3-2 and a combined 3-0 in conference play so far. Sustaining the hot starts will be a challenge, but they deserve credit for getting to this point.

Looking ahead – Key storylines

Make or break for the birds

It’s been a challenge start for both Temple and UTSA, who square off against each other in Week 6, UTSA’s first-ever AAC game. Should the Roadrunners falter, they’ll be 1-4 heading into the remainder of league play after being picked second in the preseason. Meanwhile Temple will look to prove their loss to Tulsa was a bad night instead of the continuance of a negative defensive trend.

How much fight is left?

FAU was dealt a tough blow when they learned starting quarterback Casey Thompson would miss the remainder of the 2023 season. Beaten and bruised, the Owls would be forgiven if they wrote 2023 off as a year where everything went wrong. That said, rallying despite the circumstances would be equally encouraging for Tom Herman and his staff in year one.

First to 100

South Florida has shown some sparks of life on defense so far this season. North Texas has not. For both, it hasn’t mattered too much because they have offenses that pile up the points in bunches. When they meet next weekend, one touchdown won’t be enough. Five might not either. This has shootout written all over it.

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Filed Under: AAC, Archive, Football Tagged With: AAC

AAC Football Media Days: Mike Aresco pushes Power

July 25, 2023 By Matthew Bartlett

AAC Football is alive and well. That was the message from Commissioner Mike Aresco at media days who made his case for his new-look league.

Commissioner Mike Aresco has never been one to shy away from voicing his opinion. On Tuesday morning he kicked off AAC Football media days with his familiar candor, petitioning the gathered media and all who would listen to regard his new-look conference with respect.

“I want to remind everyone that follows college football what this conference has accomplished,” Aresco said. “It’s sometimes hard to understand how some in the media continue to call us non-Power. Some have even called us mid-major. Nothing could be farther from the truth.”

He went on to cite a lengthy list of wins AAC programs have had over Power 5 schools in recent years, and mentioned four ESPN College Game Days hosted by member institutions. He listed the accolades and national awards AAC players have claimed under his watch.

“Mid-major conferences simply don’t do that. And to call such powerful performances non-Power is utterly silly.”

Aresco did what he does best, advocate for the programs under his umbrella and while some of his assertations may have been a bit optimistic, much of what he did offer up was rooted in truth. For as long as this league has existed, it’s made an impact on the national stage. And for the six programs joining the conference in 2023, that’s what matters the most.

“We’re a battle-hardened, resolute group. We refuse to embrace the stereotype that our achievements have clearly put a lie to,” Aresco admonished.

No matter who you designate the AAC — power or non-power, P5 or G5, or something else entirely — this is a conference that has made an impact on the national stage time and time again.

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Filed Under: AAC, Archive, Football Tagged With: AAC, Mike Aresco

First Look: Rice Football, AAC Over/Under Odds

June 10, 2023 By Matthew Bartlett

Earlier this week Circa Sports posted early over/under odds for every FBS team. Here’s where Rice football and other AAC teams stack up.

AAC Teams

  • Charlotte – 3
  • Tulsa – 4.5
  • UAB – 4.5
  • USF – 4.5
  • Rice – 4.5
  • Temple – 5
  • East Carolina – 5.5
  • Navy – 6
  • North Texas – 6
  • FAU – 7.5
  • SMU – 8
  • UTSA – 8
  • Memphis – 8.5
  • Tulane – 9

Rice football nonconference opponents

  • Texas Southern – n/a
  • UConn – 4.5
  • Houston – 4.5
  • Texas – 9.5

Takeaways

On the AAC front, Tulane being projected as the front-runner in the league isn’t too much of a surprise, especially with the return of quarterback Michael Pratt, several other key players and some added reinforcements from the transfer portal.

What might be most compelling to watch is the race alongside them. Four additional schools (FAU, SMU, UTSA and Memphis) are within a game and a half of first. That means if the conference race seems fairly wide open to you, oddsmakers are feeling the same way and looking to hedge their bets.

Likewise, there’s a game and a half gap between the next teams (North Texas and Navy) and everyone else in the conference, save Charlotte. Vegas doesn’t have much faith in the 49ers and their new head coach, but it doesn’t seem confident in anyone else to be a surefire bowl team either. That’s the recipe for a chaotic and exciting season.

As for Rice football, the Owls are pegged to finish in the middle to bottom of the new-look AAC. After finishing around the four to five-win mark in recent years and the step up in some of the competition they’ll face, that doesn’t feel too surprising.

What is most intriguing, though, is the quality of the Owls’ opponents. Rice plays Charlotte, Tulsa, UAB, USF, ECU, UConn and Houston in 2023. Add in Texas Southern and that’s eight of 12 opponents projected to be either from the FCS ranks or projected to be at or below .500. There are hard games coming (UTSA, SMU, Tulane, Texas) but Rice won’t absolutely require a miraculous upset to reach bowl eligibility.

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Filed Under: AAC, Archive, Football Tagged With: AAC, Rice Football

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