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Rice Football Stat Pack: Unpacking Havoc rate among CUSA squads

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Rice Football prides itself on discipline and structure, but the Owls biggest gap on defense last season was their level of chaos.

At its very core, defense is built on chaos. College football offenses have never been more calculated and sophisticated than they are right now. When the quarterback takes the snap they have a well-defined objective and understanding for how each particular play should develop. The defense wants to throw off that equilibrium by injecting chaos.

The best measure of chaos is havoc rate. That statistic is the measure of havoc plays (forced fumbles, tackles for a loss and sacks, passes defended and interceptions) against the total number of defensive plays run. Defenses which produce the highest percentages of havoc plays throw off their opponent’s plans and give their own teams a better chance to win.

Rice finished last in CUSA in havoc rate last season, averaging roughly one havoc play every eight defensive snaps, a rate of 12.6 percent. That pales in comparison to the near 20 percent havoc rate of UAB.

Rank Team Havoc Plays Havoc Rate Fumbles Forced TFL Passes Defended
1 UAB 174 20.67% 14 111 49
2 Marshall 163 18.89% 12 92 59
3 Louisiana Tech 149 16.80% 10 101 38
4 North Texas 150 18.82% 4 97 49
5 Southern Miss 110 12.14% 9 72 29
6 Middle Tenn. 156 19.14% 10 89 57
7 Charlotte 106 12.30 12 63 31
8 WKU 129 18.43% 8 65 56
9 UTSA 119 12.33% 9 78 32
10 Old Dominion 125 18.60% 6 65 54
11 UTEP 109 11.91% 8 60 41
12 FIU 119 13.52% 8 68 43
13 Florida Atlantic 113 12.38% 5 70 38
14 Rice 106 12.11% 9 57 40

Havoc rate serves as a powerful proxy for overall defensive effectiveness. 10 of the 14 CUSA teams finished with a difference of two ranking spots or less between their total defense rank and their havoc rate rank (e.g. Rice ranked 14th in havoc rate and 13th in total defense, while Old Dominion ranked 10th in havoc rate and 14th in total defense).

A second year in defensive coordinator Brian Smith’s scheme and some intriguing young talent will position Rice to grow in this area in 2019. For a team as dedicated to structure and process as the Owls are, it’s time to introduce a bit of chaos.

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Rice Football Stat Pack: Mobile quarterbacks a must for Owls

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Moving the ball on the ground is crucial to the success of the Rice football offense. That goes for the quarterbacks, too.

Five different quarterbacks saw action for Rice football in 2019. No matter who was under center, it was clear this offense valued a quarterback who was able to move in the pocket and make plays with his feet. Versatility and options are extremely important. Keeping the defense honest and forcing them to account for all 11 players on the field gives the offense an added advantage.

Bloomgren confirmed the need for that advantage on offense throughout the season, saying more than once he was counting on his passers to steal two or three first downs on the ground each game. That expectation proved true. As a unit, the Rice quarterback position accounted for 300 yards rushing (before sacks), an average of 3.66 yards per carry.

Evan Marshman is the most mobile and, unsurprisingly, led the Owls quarterbacks with a 5.39 yards per carry average. Although Shawn Stankavage and Wiley Green aren’t generally viewed as running threats, both averaged more than three yards per carry. Rice doesn’t need track stars in shotgun, but having statuesque figures isn’t conducive to how this offense wants to operate.

Green and Marshman had two rushing scores apiece. Those four quarterback rushing touchdowns tied Austin Walter for the team lead. When the quarterback position is challenging the most productive running back in rushing production their importance in the offense can’t be dismissed.

Neither Green or grad transfer Tom Stewart are dual-threat guys — at least not on the same plane as incoming freshman quarterback Jovoni Johnson. Still, whoever wins the starting job will add a rushing component to the offense. That’s what the job requires.

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Rice Football Recruiting: 2020 Corner Sean Fresch commits to Owls

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The 2020 Rice football recruiting class includes a lock-down secondary, bolstered by the Owls’ new commitment, corner Sean Fresch from Austin, Tx.

A rousing run through June landed Rice yet another commitment. The Owls kicked off the month with the Adidas 3 Stripe camp, hosting hundreds of athletes on campus. One of those players was Austin cornerback Sean Fresch who has committed to play his college football at Rice.

Rice was interested in Fresch from the moment he stepped foot on campus at camp. He ran sub 4.4 40-yard dashes and came back and replicated the feet at the Owls’ Junior Day. Watching him work against some of their top targets in person was the litmus test the Owls needed. His blazing speed, complimented with impressive work in one-on-ones made extending an offer an easy decision for the Rice staff.
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Fresch turned down offers from Army, UTSA, UTEP and Sam Houston in favor of the Owls. Rice is carving out a talent pool of top-flight Texas talent. Fresch marks the eighth in-state addition in the 2020 class. Rice is sure to add more to that total before they wrap things up on signing day.

With Fresch in the fold, the Owls’ secondary class is as robust as any in recent memory. Safety Plae Wyatt, corner Devin Gunter, corner Jordan Dubar and Fresch are going to be mainstays at the back of the defense for years to come.

It’s hard to not get excited when you turn the film for Fresch. His ability to read the quarterback and make plays on the ball in the air are hallmarks of a successful player in defensive coordinator Brian Smith’s scheme. That innate ability combined with the jets to take a tipped ball to the house in the blink of an eye makes him an exciting addition to the 2020 class.

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Rice Football Recruiting: Owls make cut for rising 2020 LB Kenneth Phillips

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The 2020 Rice Football recruiting class is hanging with an SEC Power and more as they fight for linebacker Kenneth Phillips.

Kenneth Phillips made noise on the camp circuit this summer. The Owls got their foot in the door with an offer in early June, but several Power 5 teams followed soon after. There was a time when that would have been enough to push Rice football out of the minds of recruits the caliber of Phillips. Times are changing.

Phillips, who will enter his senior season at Fort Bend Bush High School this fall, is regarded as a 3-star prospect and a top-100 outside linebacker prospect in the nation. He released his Top 6 schools today which include Rice, Texas A&M, Indiana, Georgia Tech, Wake Forest and Texas Southern. It’s expected Rice will get an official visit from Phillips before he makes his decision this fall.

Bloomgren recalls the perception Rice had upon his arrival rather sharply: “It took us a little while to be able to get in the game. We would have had trouble getting someone with a Big 12 or a Big Ten offer to come visit,” he admitted. “Now we’re doing that and we need to find a way to close out.”

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Not only is Rice getting those players to campus, but they’re also winning recruiting battles. The current crop of 2020 Rice Football commits includes players who have turned down programs in the Pac-12, Big 12 and Big Ten to come play football at South Main.

Could Phillips add an exclamation point to the Owls’ new-look recruiting swagger? It’s certainly possible. That’s a compliment in itself.

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Rice Baseball: MLB Owls Update – JT Chargois called up and Tyler Duffey deals

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Rice Baseball‘s former players are playing well in the major leagues. Here’s the latest from the current crop of MLB Owls.

JT Chargois

Chargois got called up again this week after a month long hiatus from the big leagues. He appeared in two games for the Dodgers, the first of which earned him his first win of the 2019 season. Chargois threw 2.0 innings against the San Francisco Giants on June 20, striking out five of the eight batters he faced. His next outing was brief. He faced two Arizona Diamondbacks batters, walking one and striking out the other.

Tyler Duffey

Duffey has been sharp since he rejoined the Minnesota Twins in midmay. He’s allowed no earned runs and struck out three over his last three outings. Two perfect innings this week against the Kansas City Royals and Tampa Bay Rays dropped his season ERA to 1.90.

Jon Duplantier

Duplantier hasn’t seen any innings since he was put on the injured list with shoulder inflammation two weeks ago. The Diamondbacks are playing it safe with the talented young hurler. There’s no indication of when he’ll rejoin the team or begin rehab starts.

Brock Holt

Holt was in the midst of a red-hot streak before he left Sunday’s game against the Toronto Blue Jays with a hamstring injury. It looks like he’ll avoid the injured list, but the fact that he’s missed a few games this week is unfortunate. Prior to going down Holt was hitting .390 with a .950 OPS in the month of June with 23 hits and 12 RBI in 18 games (15 starts).

Anthony Rendon

Rendon has done nothing but bolster his All Star candidacy of late. He’s hitting .313 in June including three multi-hit games this week. He’s maintained an OPS better than 1.000 since March 31. There’s a lot of good players vying for the National League’s third base slot and Rendon is trailing in the voting. If he’s going to make the mid-summer classic, it’ll most likely be a reserve. You can vote for Rendon here.

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